Atlantic Hurricane Season 2015

The Tropical Meteorology Project at CSU¬†predicts that the season¬†will see below-average activity, “anticipat(ing) that the 2015 Atlantic basin hurricane season will be one of the least active seasons since the middle of the 20th Century.”

While the season may eventually turn out to be below-average, or even less, it is very important to remember that individual storms not seasons bring impacts to the coast. It only takes one storm to choose a path of destruction, or in contrast, to deliver an epic swell — anyone remember Andrew in ’92 or Gonazalo from last year’s slow season?

The initial forecast calls for 7 named storms with 3 becoming hurricanes and 1 reaching major status. This would prove even slower than last season’s below-average year that saw 8 named storms, with 2 of 6 reaching major status.

In regards to landfall of a major hurricane, the probability of a Category 3-4-5 moving onshore in the Gulf or on the US East Coast is about half (55%) of the long-term average.

It is still, however, very important to maintain a state of readiness. Best to be prepared and nothing happens than to be caught unprepared in the middle of a storm.

The Atlantic Hurricane Season runs from June 1st to November 30th.

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